GB Voting Intention (Week 5 2023)

In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a 24pt lead to Labour. The full tables are available here.

Selected media coverage

If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Vote share (%)
Latest
Feb 1
Previous
Jan 24
Labour 46 50
Conservative 22 21
Lib Dem 9 8
Reform UK 7 7
Green 7 5
SNP 5 6
Plaid Cymru 2 1
Other party 2 3
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1139 (latest) and 1270 (previous).

How confident are you that prime minister Rishi Sunak will take care of sleaze in British politics?

Unweighted Weighted Completely confident Fairly confident Somewhat confident Slightly confident Not confident at all Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1139 1139 1% 6% 7% 8% 55% 8% 14% 100%
Gender
Female 590 590 1% 6% 6% 9% 51% 9% 19% 100%
Male 549 549 1% 7% 9% 7% 59% 6% 9% 100%
Age
18-24 82 121 8% 4% 4% 51% 21% 12% 100%
25-49 519 469 1% 3% 4% 7% 60% 9% 17% 100%
50-64 272 280 1% 8% 12% 7% 54% 4% 15% 100%
65+ 266 269 2% 10% 9% 13% 50% 5% 11% 100%
SEG
AB 278 253 1% 6% 7% 8% 60% 7% 11% 100%
C1 347 351 1% 9% 7% 8% 57% 4% 14% 100%
C2 240 239 1% 4% 10% 11% 50% 10% 15% 100%
DE 274 297 1% 6% 7% 5% 53% 11% 18% 100%
Region
London 129 161 1% 5% 5% 8% 60% 7% 13% 100%
Midlands/Wales 350 306 1% 7% 9% 8% 49% 10% 16% 100%
North 290 310 2% 5% 7% 8% 58% 8% 13% 100%
Rest of South 285 265 1% 9% 9% 8% 51% 6% 17% 100%
Scotland 85 98 7% 4% 6% 71% 6% 7% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 334 329 3% 14% 15% 15% 36% 4% 14% 100%
Labour Party 263 251 1% 3% 7% 82% 3% 4% 100%
Liberal Democrats 92 85 7% 5% 9% 62% 5% 12% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 416 426 1% 9% 11% 10% 51% 5% 13% 100%
Remain 424 395 1% 6% 5% 8% 69% 2% 9% 100%

To what extent, if at all, do you support the planned teacher strikes?

Unweighted Weighted Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1139 1139 23% 25% 14% 14% 9% 15% 100%
Gender
Female 590 590 22% 23% 13% 15% 10% 16% 100%
Male 549 549 24% 27% 15% 13% 6% 14% 100%
Age
18-24 82 121 30% 25% 9% 6% 21% 9% 100%
25-49 519 469 29% 26% 8% 9% 9% 19% 100%
50-64 272 280 18% 25% 22% 17% 3% 14% 100%
65+ 266 269 16% 22% 18% 25% 7% 11% 100%
SEG
AB 278 253 27% 23% 15% 17% 7% 11% 100%
C1 347 351 26% 27% 14% 13% 5% 15% 100%
C2 240 239 20% 24% 14% 17% 11% 13% 100%
DE 274 297 20% 24% 13% 11% 12% 20% 100%
Region
London 129 161 30% 28% 8% 14% 8% 13% 100%
Midlands/Wales 350 306 20% 27% 17% 12% 10% 15% 100%
North 290 310 30% 22% 11% 14% 10% 14% 100%
Rest of South 285 265 17% 24% 17% 17% 7% 18% 100%
Scotland 85 98 22% 26% 15% 15% 7% 15% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 334 329 8% 22% 24% 30% 5% 12% 100%
Labour Party 263 251 50% 34% 4% 3% 4% 5% 100%
Liberal Democrats 92 85 29% 24% 16% 11% 5% 15% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 416 426 16% 25% 18% 23% 5% 13% 100%
Remain 424 395 39% 25% 12% 9% 4% 12% 100%

To what extent, if at all, would you support Boris Johnson returning to the cabinet?

Unweighted Weighted Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1139 1139 7% 14% 10% 46% 7% 17% 100%
Gender
Female 590 590 6% 13% 9% 44% 8% 19% 100%
Male 549 549 7% 14% 10% 48% 7% 14% 100%
Age
18-24 82 121 5% 7% 13% 40% 21% 15% 100%
25-49 519 469 3% 11% 8% 52% 7% 19% 100%
50-64 272 280 6% 17% 9% 46% 4% 18% 100%
65+ 266 269 15% 19% 11% 36% 6% 13% 100%
SEG
AB 278 253 5% 9% 12% 54% 7% 12% 100%
C1 347 351 8% 16% 9% 50% 4% 14% 100%
C2 240 239 7% 16% 10% 38% 10% 20% 100%
DE 274 297 7% 14% 8% 40% 10% 22% 100%
Region
London 129 161 3% 8% 8% 59% 5% 16% 100%
Midlands/Wales 350 306 7% 16% 10% 40% 9% 18% 100%
North 290 310 7% 15% 9% 48% 8% 13% 100%
Rest of South 285 265 10% 14% 11% 37% 7% 21% 100%
Scotland 85 98 1% 12% 9% 60% 4% 14% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 334 329 17% 30% 12% 18% 4% 20% 100%
Labour Party 263 251 1% 4% 6% 80% 3% 6% 100%
Liberal Democrats 92 85 4% 9% 74% 1% 13% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 416 426 15% 20% 8% 31% 6% 20% 100%
Remain 424 395 1% 10% 9% 71% 2% 8% 100%

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: “The UK should leave the European Convention on Human Rights so that it can better control who comes in and out of the country.”

Unweighted Weighted Completely agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1139 1139 23% 15% 5% 27% 7% 23% 100%
Gender
Female 590 590 18% 14% 5% 23% 9% 30% 100%
Male 549 549 28% 16% 6% 30% 6% 14% 100%
Age
18-24 82 121 8% 8% 4% 38% 21% 22% 100%
25-49 519 469 11% 11% 6% 35% 8% 29% 100%
50-64 272 280 30% 22% 7% 19% 3% 20% 100%
65+ 266 269 44% 18% 3% 15% 4% 15% 100%
SEG
AB 278 253 16% 12% 9% 38% 7% 18% 100%
C1 347 351 21% 13% 6% 34% 5% 21% 100%
C2 240 239 32% 19% 4% 14% 10% 22% 100%
DE 274 297 24% 17% 3% 19% 9% 29% 100%
Region
London 129 161 18% 13% 6% 36% 7% 19% 100%
Midlands/Wales 350 306 26% 16% 6% 24% 8% 21% 100%
North 290 310 27% 13% 5% 27% 9% 19% 100%
Rest of South 285 265 21% 16% 5% 21% 6% 31% 100%
Scotland 85 98 16% 19% 3% 35% 4% 23% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 334 329 47% 21% 4% 4% 4% 19% 100%
Labour Party 263 251 10% 5% 5% 61% 3% 16% 100%
Liberal Democrats 92 85 2% 8% 12% 51% 3% 24% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 416 426 45% 20% 3% 7% 5% 19% 100%
Remain 424 395 7% 9% 8% 55% 1% 19% 100%

Details

  • Client: GB News
  • Fieldwork Period: February 1, 2023
  • Sampling Method: Online
  • Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
  • Sample Size: 1,139
  • Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
  • Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
  • Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
  • Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.