In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a 25pt lead to Labour. The full tables are available here.
If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
|
|
Vote share (%) |
| Latest
Mar 17
|
Previous
Mar 8
|
| ■ |
Labour |
45 |
42 |
| ■ |
Conservative |
20 |
23 |
| ■ |
Green |
13 |
10 |
| ■ |
Lib Dem |
9 |
8 |
| ■ |
Reform UK |
6 |
7 |
| ■ |
SNP |
5 |
4 |
| ■ |
Other party |
2 |
5 |
| ■ |
Plaid Cymru |
1 |
1 |
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1289 (latest) and 1231 (previous). |
Which of the following would be best to manage the British economy in the years ahead?
|
Unweighted |
Weighted |
A Conservative government with Rishi Sunak as Prime Minister |
A Labour government with Keir Starmer as Prime Minister |
Prefer not to say |
Don’t know |
Total |
| Overall |
| National |
1289 |
1289 |
17% |
30% |
17% |
36% |
100% |
| Gender |
| Female |
691 |
652 |
12% |
28% |
18% |
41% |
100% |
| Male |
598 |
637 |
23% |
32% |
15% |
31% |
100% |
| Age |
| 18-24 |
107 |
136 |
9% |
36% |
23% |
32% |
100% |
| 25-49 |
591 |
531 |
7% |
35% |
18% |
40% |
100% |
| 50-64 |
314 |
316 |
19% |
32% |
15% |
34% |
100% |
| 65+ |
277 |
305 |
38% |
16% |
14% |
32% |
100% |
| SEG |
| AB |
314 |
286 |
19% |
40% |
16% |
25% |
100% |
| C1 |
390 |
398 |
14% |
33% |
15% |
38% |
100% |
| C2 |
263 |
270 |
23% |
18% |
20% |
38% |
100% |
| DE |
322 |
336 |
15% |
28% |
16% |
41% |
100% |
| Region |
| London |
138 |
182 |
16% |
38% |
15% |
32% |
100% |
| Midlands/Wales |
400 |
346 |
19% |
27% |
15% |
39% |
100% |
| North |
321 |
351 |
18% |
31% |
17% |
34% |
100% |
| Rest of South |
322 |
300 |
19% |
27% |
19% |
36% |
100% |
| Scotland |
108 |
110 |
12% |
34% |
15% |
39% |
100% |
| 2019 General Election |
| Conservative Party |
357 |
378 |
46% |
10% |
13% |
30% |
100% |
| Labour Party |
313 |
278 |
1% |
70% |
9% |
19% |
100% |
| Liberal Democrats |
104 |
100 |
15% |
43% |
5% |
37% |
100% |
| 2016 Brexit referendum |
| Leave |
471 |
484 |
30% |
18% |
15% |
37% |
100% |
| Remain |
470 |
444 |
13% |
50% |
11% |
26% |
100% |
Do you feel better or worse off than you were at the last general election?
|
Unweighted |
Weighted |
Better off |
Worse off |
Neither better nor worse off |
Prefer not to say |
Don’t know |
Total |
| Overall |
| National |
1289 |
1289 |
5% |
58% |
16% |
11% |
10% |
100% |
| Gender |
| Female |
691 |
652 |
4% |
59% |
13% |
12% |
12% |
100% |
| Male |
598 |
637 |
5% |
57% |
20% |
10% |
8% |
100% |
| Age |
| 18-24 |
107 |
136 |
5% |
38% |
15% |
22% |
20% |
100% |
| 25-49 |
591 |
531 |
4% |
59% |
11% |
13% |
13% |
100% |
| 50-64 |
314 |
316 |
4% |
70% |
14% |
9% |
4% |
100% |
| 65+ |
277 |
305 |
7% |
53% |
29% |
5% |
7% |
100% |
| SEG |
| AB |
314 |
286 |
7% |
62% |
13% |
12% |
6% |
100% |
| C1 |
390 |
398 |
4% |
60% |
17% |
10% |
9% |
100% |
| C2 |
263 |
270 |
4% |
53% |
19% |
13% |
11% |
100% |
| DE |
322 |
336 |
4% |
56% |
16% |
10% |
14% |
100% |
| Region |
| London |
138 |
182 |
7% |
64% |
14% |
10% |
5% |
100% |
| Midlands/Wales |
400 |
346 |
3% |
58% |
17% |
11% |
11% |
100% |
| North |
321 |
351 |
5% |
54% |
17% |
11% |
13% |
100% |
| Rest of South |
322 |
300 |
5% |
57% |
16% |
12% |
9% |
100% |
| Scotland |
108 |
110 |
2% |
64% |
17% |
9% |
8% |
100% |
| 2019 General Election |
| Conservative Party |
357 |
378 |
7% |
49% |
30% |
8% |
6% |
100% |
| Labour Party |
313 |
278 |
4% |
78% |
9% |
6% |
4% |
100% |
| Liberal Democrats |
104 |
100 |
7% |
77% |
9% |
4% |
2% |
100% |
| 2016 Brexit referendum |
| Leave |
471 |
484 |
5% |
57% |
24% |
7% |
7% |
100% |
| Remain |
470 |
444 |
4% |
72% |
11% |
8% |
5% |
100% |
When the government provides support to families with young children, which of the following statements come closest to your view?
|
Unweighted |
Weighted |
The government should provide financial support to childcare providers to reduce the cost of childcare |
The government should provide financial support to families directly so they can use it as they see fit |
Prefer not to say |
Don’t know |
Total |
| Overall |
| National |
1289 |
1289 |
37% |
24% |
14% |
24% |
100% |
| Gender |
| Female |
691 |
652 |
40% |
24% |
15% |
21% |
100% |
| Male |
598 |
637 |
35% |
25% |
14% |
27% |
100% |
| Age |
| 18-24 |
107 |
136 |
29% |
29% |
21% |
22% |
100% |
| 25-49 |
591 |
531 |
34% |
26% |
15% |
25% |
100% |
| 50-64 |
314 |
316 |
44% |
24% |
12% |
20% |
100% |
| 65+ |
277 |
305 |
41% |
19% |
13% |
27% |
100% |
| SEG |
| AB |
314 |
286 |
47% |
21% |
13% |
19% |
100% |
| C1 |
390 |
398 |
35% |
28% |
13% |
24% |
100% |
| C2 |
263 |
270 |
37% |
17% |
19% |
26% |
100% |
| DE |
322 |
336 |
33% |
28% |
14% |
26% |
100% |
| Region |
| London |
138 |
182 |
43% |
28% |
9% |
20% |
100% |
| Midlands/Wales |
400 |
346 |
41% |
22% |
14% |
24% |
100% |
| North |
321 |
351 |
35% |
23% |
15% |
27% |
100% |
| Rest of South |
322 |
300 |
34% |
25% |
18% |
23% |
100% |
| Scotland |
108 |
110 |
36% |
26% |
15% |
22% |
100% |
| 2019 General Election |
| Conservative Party |
357 |
378 |
44% |
18% |
14% |
24% |
100% |
| Labour Party |
313 |
278 |
42% |
34% |
7% |
17% |
100% |
| Liberal Democrats |
104 |
100 |
39% |
30% |
10% |
22% |
100% |
| 2016 Brexit referendum |
| Leave |
471 |
484 |
42% |
22% |
13% |
23% |
100% |
| Remain |
470 |
444 |
41% |
28% |
11% |
21% |
100% |
In the spring budget, in order to keep senior doctors and other professionals in work, the government plans to abolish the tax-free cap at £1.07 million (i.e., the maximum amount it is possible to save before paying additional tax). To what extent, if at all, do you support or oppose abolishing the tax-free cap?
|
Unweighted |
Weighted |
Strongly support |
Support |
Oppose |
Strongly oppose |
Prefer not to say |
Don’t know |
Total |
| Overall |
| National |
1289 |
1289 |
7% |
16% |
13% |
13% |
13% |
38% |
100% |
| Gender |
| Female |
691 |
652 |
6% |
12% |
11% |
9% |
15% |
46% |
100% |
| Male |
598 |
637 |
8% |
20% |
15% |
16% |
11% |
30% |
100% |
| Age |
| 18-24 |
107 |
136 |
9% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
21% |
39% |
100% |
| 25-49 |
591 |
531 |
6% |
12% |
12% |
11% |
16% |
43% |
100% |
| 50-64 |
314 |
316 |
6% |
16% |
15% |
18% |
11% |
34% |
100% |
| 65+ |
277 |
305 |
8% |
25% |
14% |
12% |
8% |
34% |
100% |
| SEG |
| AB |
314 |
286 |
9% |
24% |
13% |
13% |
12% |
28% |
100% |
| C1 |
390 |
398 |
5% |
13% |
16% |
13% |
13% |
40% |
100% |
| C2 |
263 |
270 |
4% |
15% |
12% |
13% |
16% |
39% |
100% |
| DE |
322 |
336 |
9% |
13% |
11% |
11% |
12% |
44% |
100% |
| Region |
| London |
138 |
182 |
10% |
18% |
16% |
11% |
9% |
36% |
100% |
| Midlands/Wales |
400 |
346 |
5% |
15% |
13% |
9% |
15% |
43% |
100% |
| North |
321 |
351 |
6% |
14% |
12% |
14% |
14% |
39% |
100% |
| Rest of South |
322 |
300 |
7% |
17% |
13% |
14% |
13% |
36% |
100% |
| Scotland |
108 |
110 |
7% |
18% |
14% |
16% |
13% |
32% |
100% |
| 2019 General Election |
| Conservative Party |
357 |
378 |
10% |
27% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
34% |
100% |
| Labour Party |
313 |
278 |
5% |
12% |
17% |
18% |
9% |
40% |
100% |
| Liberal Democrats |
104 |
100 |
7% |
17% |
24% |
17% |
5% |
29% |
100% |
| 2016 Brexit referendum |
| Leave |
471 |
484 |
7% |
20% |
12% |
15% |
10% |
36% |
100% |
| Remain |
470 |
444 |
6% |
16% |
18% |
14% |
10% |
35% |
100% |
Details
- Client: GB News
- Fieldwork Period: March 16-17, 2023
- Sampling Method: Online
- Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
- Sample Size: 1,289
- Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
- Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
- Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
- Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.
