GB Voting Intention (Week 49 2022)

In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a 27pt lead to Labour. The full tables are available here.

Selected media coverage

If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Vote share (%)
Latest
Dec 7
Previous
Nov 30
Labour 47 46
Conservative 20 21
Reform UK 9 7
Lib Dem 8 7
Green 6 9
SNP 5 5
Other party 4 4
Plaid Cymru 1 1
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1231 (latest) and 1208 (previous).

Thinking about Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, The Duke and Duchess of Sussex, do you personally have a positive or negative view of them?

Unweighted Weighted Very positive Fairly positive Fairly negative Very negative Don’t know Prefer not to say Total
Overall
National 1231 1231 6% 16% 18% 30% 21% 9% 100%
Gender
Female 644 647 6% 18% 17% 29% 21% 9% 100%
Male 587 584 6% 14% 19% 32% 20% 9% 100%
Age
18-24 106 130 11% 25% 15% 17% 20% 12% 100%
25-49 535 507 7% 24% 18% 17% 25% 10% 100%
50-64 321 302 4% 9% 17% 40% 20% 9% 100%
65+ 269 291 5% 7% 19% 49% 14% 5% 100%
SEG
AB 281 283 10% 19% 20% 23% 19% 8% 100%
C1 391 384 4% 21% 20% 29% 18% 8% 100%
C2 250 248 6% 14% 17% 38% 16% 9% 100%
DE 309 315 4% 11% 14% 32% 28% 11% 100%
Region
London 139 174 8% 24% 20% 26% 15% 7% 100%
Midlands/Wales 389 331 5% 15% 20% 30% 20% 9% 100%
North 306 335 6% 14% 18% 31% 20% 11% 100%
Rest of South 290 286 6% 17% 16% 31% 22% 8% 100%
Scotland 107 105 1% 15% 12% 34% 29% 9% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 365 349 3% 8% 22% 52% 10% 5% 100%
Labour Party 280 274 11% 28% 11% 20% 23% 8% 100%
Liberal Democrats 93 90 5% 24% 24% 19% 21% 7% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 474 461 5% 7% 19% 48% 16% 6% 100%
Remain 453 427 6% 23% 18% 21% 22% 10% 100%

Which of the following couples best represent the values of Britain?

Unweighted Weighted William and Catherine, Prince and Princess of Wales Harry and Meghan, the Duke and Duchess of Sussex Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1231 1231 54% 7% 11% 28% 100%
Gender
Female 644 647 57% 6% 10% 27% 100%
Male 587 584 51% 7% 12% 30% 100%
Age
18-24 106 130 39% 13% 16% 32% 100%
25-49 535 507 43% 10% 11% 36% 100%
50-64 321 302 63% 3% 10% 24% 100%
65+ 269 291 70% 2% 9% 18% 100%
SEG
AB 281 283 52% 8% 10% 30% 100%
C1 391 384 54% 6% 11% 29% 100%
C2 250 248 60% 8% 10% 22% 100%
DE 309 315 51% 6% 12% 31% 100%
Region
London 139 174 51% 8% 9% 31% 100%
Midlands/Wales 389 331 55% 7% 10% 28% 100%
North 306 335 56% 6% 12% 26% 100%
Rest of South 290 286 55% 8% 10% 27% 100%
Scotland 107 105 48% 2% 14% 36% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 365 349 83% 1% 4% 12% 100%
Labour Party 280 274 36% 15% 10% 39% 100%
Liberal Democrats 93 90 51% 9% 9% 32% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 474 461 72% 3% 7% 18% 100%
Remain 453 427 43% 11% 12% 34% 100%

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Harry and Meghan should be banned from attending King Charles III’s coronation.”

Unweighted Weighted Completely agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1231 1231 17% 7% 18% 9% 30% 7% 12% 100%
Gender
Female 644 647 15% 8% 17% 9% 32% 7% 11% 100%
Male 587 584 19% 6% 19% 9% 28% 7% 12% 100%
Age
18-24 106 130 11% 6% 17% 9% 32% 10% 14% 100%
25-49 535 507 7% 5% 13% 11% 40% 9% 14% 100%
50-64 321 302 24% 7% 19% 9% 23% 7% 11% 100%
65+ 269 291 31% 10% 23% 6% 20% 4% 7% 100%
SEG
AB 281 283 14% 9% 14% 9% 39% 6% 10% 100%
C1 391 384 14% 6% 20% 13% 30% 6% 11% 100%
C2 250 248 24% 5% 16% 5% 31% 8% 10% 100%
DE 309 315 18% 8% 20% 7% 23% 9% 15% 100%
Region
London 139 174 15% 7% 20% 13% 37% 4% 6% 100%
Midlands/Wales 389 331 16% 7% 19% 10% 30% 7% 11% 100%
North 306 335 18% 7% 17% 8% 29% 8% 14% 100%
Rest of South 290 286 20% 6% 16% 6% 31% 8% 13% 100%
Scotland 107 105 15% 8% 18% 11% 27% 9% 13% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 365 349 33% 10% 20% 10% 17% 3% 7% 100%
Labour Party 280 274 9% 4% 19% 10% 44% 5% 10% 100%
Liberal Democrats 93 90 5% 7% 20% 8% 49% 2% 9% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 474 461 30% 8% 17% 10% 20% 4% 10% 100%
Remain 453 427 8% 5% 17% 9% 44% 7% 10% 100%

The late Queen’s lady-in-waiting Lady Susan Hussey has resigned after she repeatedly asked a black British charity boss where she was “really” from. To what extent do you agree that Lady Susan Hussey should resign?

Unweighted Weighted Completely agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1231 1231 33% 12% 12% 10% 16% 7% 11% 100%
Gender
Female 644 647 33% 13% 11% 10% 12% 8% 12% 100%
Male 587 584 32% 10% 13% 9% 21% 6% 9% 100%
Age
18-24 106 130 40% 12% 9% 7% 5% 8% 19% 100%
25-49 535 507 36% 12% 12% 8% 10% 8% 14% 100%
50-64 321 302 28% 13% 11% 11% 25% 6% 6% 100%
65+ 269 291 29% 11% 14% 13% 24% 5% 6% 100%
SEG
AB 281 283 40% 14% 12% 7% 14% 5% 8% 100%
C1 391 384 32% 13% 12% 11% 15% 6% 11% 100%
C2 250 248 25% 11% 11% 12% 21% 8% 11% 100%
DE 309 315 33% 9% 12% 9% 16% 9% 13% 100%
Region
London 139 174 41% 16% 12% 10% 13% 3% 5% 100%
Midlands/Wales 389 331 32% 11% 10% 9% 19% 7% 11% 100%
North 306 335 30% 10% 12% 11% 16% 8% 12% 100%
Rest of South 290 286 30% 12% 15% 9% 15% 8% 11% 100%
Scotland 107 105 36% 9% 9% 9% 17% 7% 13% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 365 349 22% 10% 11% 15% 30% 3% 9% 100%
Labour Party 280 274 53% 14% 9% 6% 8% 4% 7% 100%
Liberal Democrats 93 90 40% 26% 13% 14% 3% 1% 3% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 474 461 23% 9% 14% 12% 30% 3% 8% 100%
Remain 453 427 47% 16% 10% 8% 7% 5% 7% 100%

Details

  • Client: GB News
  • Fieldwork Period: December 7, 2022
  • Sampling Method: Online
  • Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
  • Sample Size: 1,231
  • Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
  • Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
  • Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
  • Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.