GB Voting Intention (Week 45 2022)

In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a 21pt lead to Labour. The full tables are available here.

Selected media coverage

If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Vote share (%)
Latest
Nov 9
Previous
Nov 1
Labour 42 47
Conservative 21 21
Lib Dem 9 10
Green 9 7
Reform UK 8 5
SNP 5 5
Other party 4 4
Plaid Cymru 2 1
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1198 (latest) and 1212 (previous).

Protesters from the environmental activist group Just Stop Oil have caused widespread disruptions, such as gluing themselves to roads, throwing soup on famous paintings and stopping traffic on the M25, the UK’s busiest motorway. To what extent, if at all, do you support these disruptions?

Unweighted Weighted Strongly support Support Neither oppose nor support Oppose Strongly oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1198 1198 4% 9% 10% 15% 47% 8% 6% 100%
Gender
Female 622 627 4% 8% 12% 16% 41% 10% 8% 100%
Male 576 571 4% 10% 8% 14% 53% 6% 5% 100%
Age
18-24 120 124 11% 13% 14% 8% 28% 17% 9% 100%
25-49 507 508 5% 12% 12% 15% 35% 10% 10% 100%
50-64 293 294 1% 5% 9% 22% 55% 4% 4% 100%
65+ 278 272 3% 5% 6% 10% 71% 4% 1% 100%
SEG
AB 299 266 5% 12% 10% 12% 46% 11% 4% 100%
C1 359 369 6% 11% 9% 16% 47% 5% 6% 100%
C2 250 251 3% 5% 10% 16% 54% 5% 8% 100%
DE 290 312 3% 7% 13% 15% 43% 11% 8% 100%
Region
London 129 169 9% 13% 10% 9% 46% 6% 6% 100%
Midlands/Wales 374 322 1% 8% 11% 16% 49% 10% 6% 100%
North 306 326 5% 7% 11% 16% 44% 8% 10% 100%
Rest of South 291 279 4% 9% 10% 14% 50% 8% 4% 100%
Scotland 98 103 6% 9% 10% 19% 45% 6% 5% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 365 350 1% 2% 4% 12% 75% 4% 2% 100%
Labour Party 264 264 9% 24% 15% 15% 22% 6% 7% 100%
Liberal Democrats 93 89 6% 7% 17% 24% 42% 1% 3% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 464 449 1% 5% 6% 14% 66% 4% 4% 100%
Remain 430 416 7% 16% 13% 19% 33% 4% 7% 100%

The government is planning to introduce harsher punishments for environmental activists who disrupt public order, including imprisonment for six months and unlimited fines. To what extent, if at all, do you support harsher punishments for environmental activists such as Just Stop Oil?

Unweighted Weighted Strongly support Support Neither oppose nor support Oppose Strongly oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1198 1198 36% 16% 11% 8% 15% 8% 7% 100%
Gender
Female 622 627 29% 19% 13% 8% 13% 10% 9% 100%
Male 576 571 43% 13% 9% 8% 17% 6% 4% 100%
Age
18-24 120 124 23% 9% 9% 9% 23% 17% 10% 100%
25-49 507 508 23% 15% 13% 11% 18% 9% 11% 100%
50-64 293 294 45% 22% 11% 5% 8% 5% 4% 100%
65+ 278 272 56% 16% 8% 5% 11% 4% 1% 100%
SEG
AB 299 266 33% 15% 9% 10% 18% 11% 4% 100%
C1 359 369 34% 16% 11% 10% 17% 5% 9% 100%
C2 250 251 45% 18% 10% 4% 11% 5% 7% 100%
DE 290 312 34% 16% 14% 6% 12% 11% 7% 100%
Region
London 129 169 37% 9% 8% 10% 24% 6% 6% 100%
Midlands/Wales 374 322 37% 16% 13% 8% 11% 9% 7% 100%
North 306 326 32% 20% 10% 8% 12% 8% 10% 100%
Rest of South 291 279 38% 15% 12% 6% 16% 8% 4% 100%
Scotland 98 103 34% 19% 10% 7% 18% 7% 5% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 365 350 63% 19% 6% 3% 3% 4% 2% 100%
Labour Party 264 264 12% 11% 13% 17% 33% 6% 8% 100%
Liberal Democrats 93 89 26% 20% 11% 12% 22% 4% 4% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 464 449 55% 19% 10% 2% 6% 4% 4% 100%
Remain 430 416 20% 14% 13% 16% 26% 5% 7% 100%

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: “The UK should pay climate reparations to developing countries in compensation for its historic role in climate change.”

Unweighted Weighted Completely agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1198 1198 9% 14% 14% 13% 28% 8% 14% 100%
Gender
Female 622 627 9% 12% 15% 11% 23% 10% 20% 100%
Male 576 571 10% 15% 14% 14% 34% 6% 7% 100%
Age
18-24 120 124 19% 14% 13% 6% 20% 16% 12% 100%
25-49 507 508 11% 14% 14% 11% 21% 10% 20% 100%
50-64 293 294 5% 13% 11% 16% 39% 5% 12% 100%
65+ 278 272 7% 14% 19% 15% 34% 5% 5% 100%
SEG
AB 299 266 15% 13% 15% 13% 24% 11% 9% 100%
C1 359 369 10% 16% 14% 15% 25% 5% 14% 100%
C2 250 251 7% 8% 14% 14% 38% 5% 15% 100%
DE 290 312 5% 16% 14% 8% 28% 11% 17% 100%
Region
London 129 169 17% 17% 11% 15% 22% 7% 11% 100%
Midlands/Wales 374 322 8% 12% 15% 12% 27% 10% 15% 100%
North 306 326 7% 12% 12% 15% 31% 8% 15% 100%
Rest of South 291 279 7% 17% 15% 9% 32% 8% 12% 100%
Scotland 98 103 14% 7% 21% 12% 25% 6% 14% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 365 350 2% 10% 13% 15% 45% 5% 10% 100%
Labour Party 264 264 22% 21% 17% 12% 13% 6% 10% 100%
Liberal Democrats 93 89 12% 25% 18% 14% 16% 2% 13% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 464 449 2% 9% 13% 16% 46% 4% 9% 100%
Remain 430 416 18% 22% 16% 10% 15% 5% 14% 100%

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Donald Trump is a threat to democracy in the United States.”

Unweighted Weighted Completely agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1198 1198 45% 12% 10% 4% 7% 8% 13% 100%
Gender
Female 622 627 43% 15% 9% 3% 4% 10% 16% 100%
Male 576 571 47% 9% 11% 7% 11% 6% 10% 100%
Age
18-24 120 124 43% 10% 6% 3% 7% 17% 14% 100%
25-49 507 508 42% 12% 9% 5% 5% 9% 18% 100%
50-64 293 294 45% 11% 12% 4% 10% 6% 12% 100%
65+ 278 272 52% 14% 12% 4% 8% 4% 6% 100%
SEG
AB 299 266 47% 13% 11% 4% 7% 10% 8% 100%
C1 359 369 53% 11% 11% 2% 6% 5% 12% 100%
C2 250 251 36% 12% 8% 6% 10% 7% 21% 100%
DE 290 312 41% 12% 10% 6% 7% 11% 12% 100%
Region
London 129 169 57% 8% 8% 6% 6% 5% 10% 100%
Midlands/Wales 374 322 48% 10% 8% 5% 7% 9% 13% 100%
North 306 326 39% 14% 11% 5% 8% 9% 14% 100%
Rest of South 291 279 43% 14% 12% 2% 8% 8% 13% 100%
Scotland 98 103 41% 12% 12% 3% 8% 7% 17% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 365 350 35% 13% 14% 7% 14% 5% 11% 100%
Labour Party 264 264 71% 10% 7% 1% 2% 5% 4% 100%
Liberal Democrats 93 89 74% 10% 3% 1% 3% 2% 7% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 464 449 36% 11% 15% 7% 13% 5% 12% 100%
Remain 430 416 65% 13% 5% 1% 5% 3% 7% 100%

Details

  • Client: GB News
  • Fieldwork Period: November 9, 2022
  • Sampling Method: Online
  • Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
  • Sample Size: 1,198
  • Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
  • Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
  • Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
  • Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.