GB Voting Intention (Week 6 2023)

In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a 29pt lead to Labour. The full tables are available here.

Selected media coverage

If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Vote share (%)
Latest
Feb 9
Previous
Feb 1
Labour 50 46
Conservative 21 22
Lib Dem 7 9
Reform UK 7 7
Green 6 7
SNP 4 5
Other party 3 2
Plaid Cymru 1 2
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1229 (latest) and 1139 (previous).

If you had to choose, which Prime Minister has been the best since the 2019 general election?

Unweighted Weighted Boris Johnson Rishi Sunak Liz Truss Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1229 1229 26% 15% 2% 21% 36% 100%
Gender
Female 646 637 23% 14% 2% 22% 39% 100%
Male 583 592 29% 17% 2% 20% 33% 100%
Age
18-24 149 130 12% 16% 2% 27% 43% 100%
25-49 523 507 20% 13% 3% 22% 42% 100%
50-64 303 302 33% 12% 2% 22% 31% 100%
65+ 254 291 33% 23% 1% 15% 29% 100%
SEG
AB 291 288 19% 26% 1% 18% 36% 100%
C1 376 381 23% 14% 2% 21% 39% 100%
C2 260 261 34% 11% 1% 22% 33% 100%
DE 302 299 28% 11% 3% 23% 35% 100%
Region
London 145 173 25% 16% 1% 20% 37% 100%
Midlands/Wales 379 330 28% 14% 2% 18% 38% 100%
North 320 334 24% 16% 0% 24% 35% 100%
Rest of South 280 286 28% 15% 3% 21% 34% 100%
Scotland 105 105 19% 17% 5% 23% 37% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 355 365 52% 18% 2% 8% 20% 100%
Labour Party 289 276 8% 18% 2% 25% 47% 100%
Liberal Democrats 97 102 10% 30% 1% 26% 33% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 444 452 47% 11% 2% 15% 26% 100%
Remain 435 443 12% 23% 2% 26% 37% 100%

Under the triple lock, the state pension is supposed to increase each year in line with whichever is highest – inflation, average earnings or 2.5%. Do you believe this policy will still exist in five years?

Unweighted Weighted Yes No Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1229 1229 11% 47% 9% 33% 100%
Gender
Female 646 637 7% 43% 12% 38% 100%
Male 583 592 15% 50% 6% 29% 100%
Age
18-24 149 130 12% 30% 25% 33% 100%
25-49 523 507 6% 48% 12% 34% 100%
50-64 303 302 11% 50% 5% 33% 100%
65+ 254 291 17% 48% 2% 33% 100%
SEG
AB 291 288 9% 54% 6% 31% 100%
C1 376 381 13% 45% 9% 34% 100%
C2 260 261 10% 42% 12% 36% 100%
DE 302 299 10% 46% 11% 33% 100%
Region
London 145 173 11% 49% 11% 29% 100%
Midlands/Wales 379 330 9% 48% 10% 33% 100%
North 320 334 13% 46% 9% 31% 100%
Rest of South 280 286 11% 44% 8% 37% 100%
Scotland 105 105 8% 46% 8% 38% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 355 365 16% 50% 4% 30% 100%
Labour Party 289 276 9% 56% 8% 27% 100%
Liberal Democrats 97 102 9% 48% 9% 35% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 444 452 13% 52% 4% 31% 100%
Remain 435 443 9% 53% 7% 31% 100%

Which political party do you think would be the best at managing Brexit?

Unweighted Weighted Labour Conservative Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru Reform UK Green Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1229 1229 17% 16% 5% 3% 1% 5% 2% 12% 40% 100%
Gender
Female 646 637 16% 12% 4% 2% 0% 4% 2% 15% 46% 100%
Male 583 592 18% 20% 6% 3% 1% 6% 3% 10% 33% 100%
Age
18-24 149 130 16% 6% 6% 3% 1% 2% 4% 23% 39% 100%
25-49 523 507 20% 6% 5% 3% 1% 3% 3% 14% 45% 100%
50-64 303 302 14% 20% 6% 3% 1% 7% 1% 9% 39% 100%
65+ 254 291 16% 31% 4% 0% 8% 2% 7% 31% 100%
SEG
AB 291 288 20% 17% 7% 3% 0% 3% 3% 10% 38% 100%
C1 376 381 19% 15% 4% 2% 0% 3% 2% 11% 43% 100%
C2 260 261 16% 18% 5% 3% 2% 6% 1% 13% 37% 100%
DE 302 299 14% 13% 4% 3% 0% 8% 3% 16% 39% 100%
Region
London 145 173 19% 19% 5% 1% 6% 1% 11% 38% 100%
Midlands/Wales 379 330 17% 15% 6% 1% 2% 6% 1% 12% 41% 100%
North 320 334 20% 15% 3% 1% 6% 3% 14% 38% 100%
Rest of South 280 286 14% 16% 7% 2% 1% 3% 5% 11% 41% 100%
Scotland 105 105 15% 11% 2% 15% 3% 15% 39% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 355 365 6% 41% 3% 1% 0% 11% 0% 6% 32% 100%
Labour Party 289 276 45% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1% 4% 10% 32% 100%
Liberal Democrats 97 102 13% 4% 28% 2% 5% 14% 34% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 444 452 13% 30% 2% 1% 0% 11% 1% 9% 33% 100%
Remain 435 443 25% 8% 9% 4% 1% 1% 4% 11% 36% 100%

How satisfied are you with King Charles III in his first 150 days as king?

Unweighted Weighted Completely satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Completely dissatisfied Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1229 1229 26% 18% 4% 7% 11% 34% 100%
Gender
Female 646 637 25% 18% 4% 6% 12% 35% 100%
Male 583 592 27% 19% 4% 7% 10% 32% 100%
Age
18-24 149 130 8% 15% 8% 8% 20% 41% 100%
25-49 523 507 19% 15% 4% 6% 13% 43% 100%
50-64 303 302 31% 18% 6% 7% 8% 30% 100%
65+ 254 291 41% 25% 2% 7% 6% 18% 100%
SEG
AB 291 288 28% 19% 5% 6% 8% 34% 100%
C1 376 381 26% 19% 2% 7% 11% 35% 100%
C2 260 261 26% 15% 6% 7% 12% 33% 100%
DE 302 299 23% 20% 5% 6% 13% 33% 100%
Region
London 145 173 24% 20% 4% 8% 11% 32% 100%
Midlands/Wales 379 330 28% 18% 2% 7% 11% 33% 100%
North 320 334 24% 20% 5% 4% 12% 35% 100%
Rest of South 280 286 27% 18% 6% 6% 11% 34% 100%
Scotland 105 105 25% 15% 4% 12% 10% 34% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 355 365 44% 20% 2% 6% 6% 22% 100%
Labour Party 289 276 16% 19% 5% 11% 8% 40% 100%
Liberal Democrats 97 102 23% 22% 1% 4% 17% 33% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 444 452 35% 21% 3% 6% 8% 27% 100%
Remain 435 443 23% 20% 4% 8% 11% 35% 100%

Details

  • Client: GB News
  • Fieldwork Period: February 8-9, 2023
  • Sampling Method: Online
  • Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
  • Sample Size: 1,229
  • Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
  • Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
  • Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
  • Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.