In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a 34pt lead to Labour. The full tables are available here.
If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?
|
|
Vote share (%) |
|
Latest
Oct 12
|
Previous
Oct 6
|
| ■ |
Labour |
53 |
52 |
| ■ |
Conservative |
19 |
20 |
| ■ |
Lib Dem |
8 |
8 |
| ■ |
SNP |
6 |
5 |
| ■ |
Green |
6 |
7 |
| ■ |
Reform UK |
4 |
4 |
| ■ |
Other party |
4 |
3 |
| ■ |
Plaid Cymru |
2 |
1 |
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1158 (latest) and 1512 (previous). |
To what extent, if at all, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Liz Truss?
|
Unweighted |
Weighted |
Very favourable |
Somewhat favourable |
Somewhat unfavourable |
Very unfavourable |
Don’t know |
Prefer not to say |
Total |
| Overall |
| National |
1158 |
1158 |
2% |
7% |
16% |
49% |
19% |
7% |
100% |
| Gender |
| Female |
616 |
586 |
2% |
5% |
15% |
46% |
24% |
8% |
100% |
| Male |
542 |
572 |
2% |
10% |
17% |
51% |
13% |
7% |
100% |
| Age |
| 18-24 |
102 |
123 |
1% |
3% |
15% |
51% |
16% |
15% |
100% |
| 25-49 |
503 |
477 |
2% |
5% |
14% |
48% |
23% |
8% |
100% |
| 50-64 |
308 |
284 |
1% |
8% |
21% |
48% |
18% |
4% |
100% |
| 65+ |
245 |
274 |
3% |
13% |
17% |
49% |
13% |
6% |
100% |
| SEG |
| AB |
273 |
282 |
1% |
6% |
19% |
52% |
16% |
5% |
100% |
| C1 |
353 |
341 |
1% |
6% |
16% |
54% |
17% |
6% |
100% |
| C2 |
245 |
244 |
3% |
10% |
13% |
45% |
20% |
10% |
100% |
| DE |
287 |
291 |
3% |
8% |
16% |
42% |
22% |
9% |
100% |
| Region |
| London |
125 |
163 |
2% |
9% |
16% |
47% |
19% |
7% |
100% |
| Midlands/Wales |
361 |
311 |
2% |
9% |
16% |
48% |
18% |
7% |
100% |
| North |
292 |
315 |
2% |
9% |
15% |
45% |
21% |
9% |
100% |
| Rest of South |
275 |
269 |
2% |
4% |
20% |
47% |
20% |
8% |
100% |
| Scotland |
105 |
99 |
– |
7% |
12% |
70% |
9% |
3% |
100% |
| 2019 General Election |
| Conservative Party |
345 |
333 |
2% |
17% |
29% |
28% |
19% |
6% |
100% |
| Labour Party |
269 |
253 |
2% |
1% |
11% |
74% |
7% |
5% |
100% |
| Liberal Democrats |
90 |
90 |
1% |
6% |
12% |
71% |
10% |
– |
100% |
| 2016 Brexit referendum |
| Leave |
451 |
434 |
1% |
13% |
22% |
42% |
16% |
6% |
100% |
| Remain |
435 |
402 |
2% |
4% |
15% |
66% |
9% |
4% |
100% |
To what extent, if at all, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Keir Starmer?
|
Unweighted |
Weighted |
Very favourable |
Somewhat favourable |
Somewhat unfavourable |
Very unfavourable |
Don’t know |
Prefer not to say |
Total |
| Overall |
| National |
1158 |
1158 |
7% |
26% |
20% |
21% |
20% |
7% |
100% |
| Gender |
| Female |
616 |
586 |
5% |
22% |
20% |
18% |
27% |
7% |
100% |
| Male |
542 |
572 |
8% |
29% |
20% |
24% |
13% |
6% |
100% |
| Age |
| 18-24 |
102 |
123 |
8% |
21% |
20% |
16% |
20% |
15% |
100% |
| 25-49 |
503 |
477 |
5% |
28% |
20% |
13% |
26% |
8% |
100% |
| 50-64 |
308 |
284 |
8% |
22% |
19% |
31% |
16% |
4% |
100% |
| 65+ |
245 |
274 |
9% |
26% |
21% |
28% |
12% |
5% |
100% |
| SEG |
| AB |
273 |
282 |
8% |
30% |
24% |
16% |
17% |
5% |
100% |
| C1 |
353 |
341 |
6% |
28% |
24% |
19% |
18% |
6% |
100% |
| C2 |
245 |
244 |
5% |
23% |
15% |
26% |
22% |
9% |
100% |
| DE |
287 |
291 |
8% |
21% |
16% |
24% |
22% |
8% |
100% |
| Region |
| London |
125 |
163 |
12% |
34% |
17% |
15% |
16% |
6% |
100% |
| Midlands/Wales |
361 |
311 |
10% |
21% |
22% |
18% |
22% |
7% |
100% |
| North |
292 |
315 |
4% |
26% |
18% |
23% |
21% |
8% |
100% |
| Rest of South |
275 |
269 |
5% |
25% |
20% |
25% |
18% |
7% |
100% |
| Scotland |
105 |
99 |
2% |
27% |
24% |
26% |
19% |
3% |
100% |
| 2019 General Election |
| Conservative Party |
345 |
333 |
3% |
13% |
28% |
41% |
11% |
5% |
100% |
| Labour Party |
269 |
253 |
14% |
46% |
17% |
7% |
11% |
5% |
100% |
| Liberal Democrats |
90 |
90 |
15% |
39% |
24% |
10% |
11% |
– |
100% |
| 2016 Brexit referendum |
| Leave |
451 |
434 |
5% |
18% |
21% |
38% |
12% |
6% |
100% |
| Remain |
435 |
402 |
10% |
43% |
22% |
9% |
11% |
5% |
100% |
Prime Minister Liz Truss is expected to loosen immigration rules to help businesses fill vacancies by recruiting more overseas workers. To what extent, if at all, would you support or oppose this change?
|
Unweighted |
Weighted |
Strongly oppose |
Oppose |
Neither oppose nor support |
Support |
Strongly support |
Prefer not to say |
Don’t know |
Total |
| Overall |
| National |
1158 |
1158 |
15% |
12% |
21% |
22% |
10% |
6% |
14% |
100% |
| Gender |
| Female |
616 |
586 |
13% |
13% |
17% |
21% |
10% |
6% |
19% |
100% |
| Male |
542 |
572 |
16% |
11% |
25% |
23% |
10% |
6% |
9% |
100% |
| Age |
| 18-24 |
102 |
123 |
7% |
7% |
12% |
28% |
13% |
15% |
18% |
100% |
| 25-49 |
503 |
477 |
13% |
10% |
15% |
21% |
14% |
7% |
19% |
100% |
| 50-64 |
308 |
284 |
18% |
20% |
28% |
19% |
4% |
3% |
8% |
100% |
| 65+ |
245 |
274 |
17% |
10% |
27% |
24% |
7% |
3% |
11% |
100% |
| SEG |
| AB |
273 |
282 |
8% |
9% |
18% |
28% |
17% |
5% |
14% |
100% |
| C1 |
353 |
341 |
12% |
9% |
27% |
27% |
11% |
5% |
10% |
100% |
| C2 |
245 |
244 |
15% |
15% |
23% |
15% |
9% |
7% |
16% |
100% |
| DE |
287 |
291 |
23% |
16% |
14% |
17% |
4% |
7% |
18% |
100% |
| Region |
| London |
125 |
163 |
13% |
5% |
22% |
26% |
17% |
5% |
12% |
100% |
| Midlands/Wales |
361 |
311 |
13% |
11% |
23% |
23% |
8% |
7% |
14% |
100% |
| North |
292 |
315 |
17% |
14% |
20% |
20% |
10% |
7% |
13% |
100% |
| Rest of South |
275 |
269 |
17% |
14% |
18% |
20% |
8% |
7% |
16% |
100% |
| Scotland |
105 |
99 |
11% |
12% |
21% |
28% |
8% |
2% |
18% |
100% |
| 2019 General Election |
| Conservative Party |
345 |
333 |
22% |
18% |
28% |
17% |
4% |
5% |
7% |
100% |
| Labour Party |
269 |
253 |
6% |
6% |
20% |
35% |
19% |
5% |
8% |
100% |
| Liberal Democrats |
90 |
90 |
6% |
5% |
23% |
37% |
21% |
– |
7% |
100% |
| 2016 Brexit referendum |
| Leave |
451 |
434 |
24% |
18% |
24% |
15% |
3% |
6% |
11% |
100% |
| Remain |
435 |
402 |
4% |
7% |
21% |
35% |
20% |
4% |
9% |
100% |
If there were a referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, how would you vote?
|
Unweighted |
Weighted |
Join the European Union |
Stay out of the European Union |
Prefer not to say |
Don’t know |
Total |
| Overall |
| National |
1158 |
1158 |
41% |
32% |
6% |
20% |
100% |
| Gender |
| Female |
616 |
586 |
42% |
25% |
7% |
26% |
100% |
| Male |
542 |
572 |
41% |
39% |
6% |
14% |
100% |
| Age |
| 18-24 |
102 |
123 |
58% |
13% |
14% |
15% |
100% |
| 25-49 |
503 |
477 |
49% |
19% |
7% |
24% |
100% |
| 50-64 |
308 |
284 |
33% |
46% |
3% |
18% |
100% |
| 65+ |
245 |
274 |
29% |
48% |
5% |
18% |
100% |
| SEG |
| AB |
273 |
282 |
55% |
24% |
5% |
16% |
100% |
| C1 |
353 |
341 |
44% |
31% |
4% |
21% |
100% |
| C2 |
245 |
244 |
31% |
41% |
9% |
19% |
100% |
| DE |
287 |
291 |
34% |
34% |
8% |
23% |
100% |
| Region |
| London |
125 |
163 |
45% |
30% |
4% |
21% |
100% |
| Midlands/Wales |
361 |
311 |
43% |
29% |
7% |
20% |
100% |
| North |
292 |
315 |
36% |
35% |
8% |
20% |
100% |
| Rest of South |
275 |
269 |
39% |
33% |
7% |
20% |
100% |
| Scotland |
105 |
99 |
51% |
30% |
1% |
18% |
100% |
| 2019 General Election |
| Conservative Party |
345 |
333 |
15% |
67% |
5% |
13% |
100% |
| Labour Party |
269 |
253 |
77% |
8% |
4% |
11% |
100% |
| Liberal Democrats |
90 |
90 |
74% |
12% |
– |
14% |
100% |
| 2016 Brexit referendum |
| Leave |
451 |
434 |
12% |
67% |
4% |
16% |
100% |
| Remain |
435 |
402 |
77% |
8% |
4% |
11% |
100% |
Selected media coverage
Details
- Client: GB News
- Fieldwork Period: October 12, 2022
- Sampling Method: Online
- Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
- Sample Size: 1,158
- Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
- Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
- Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
- Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.
