GB Voting Intention (Week 38 2022)

In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find no changes in the support for Labour and Conservative. The full tables are available here.

If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Vote share (%)
Latest
Sep 21
Previous
Sep 13
Labour 40 40
Conservative 28 28
Lib Dem 10 10
Green 8 6
SNP 6 4
Reform UK 4 5
Other party 4 4
Plaid Cymru 1 2
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1298 (latest) and 1245 (previous).

To what extent, if at all, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Liz Truss?

Unweighted Weighted Very favourable Somewhat favourable Somewhat unfavourable Very unfavourable Don’t know Prefer not to say Total
Overall
National 1298 1298 3% 14% 19% 30% 27% 7% 100%
Gender
Female 664 659 2% 11% 20% 29% 29% 8% 100%
Male 634 639 4% 16% 19% 31% 24% 6% 100%
Age
18-24 142 137 0% 7% 21% 38% 26% 7% 100%
25-49 581 535 2% 10% 21% 32% 28% 8% 100%
50-64 316 319 3% 16% 14% 32% 29% 7% 100%
65+ 259 307 6% 20% 21% 22% 23% 7% 100%
SEG
AB 301 306 3% 11% 25% 31% 21% 9% 100%
C1 407 402 2% 13% 22% 32% 24% 7% 100%
C2 265 263 4% 17% 15% 30% 27% 6% 100%
DE 325 327 2% 14% 14% 27% 36% 7% 100%
Region
London 147 183 2% 13% 24% 36% 19% 6% 100%
Midlands/Wales 402 349 2% 14% 18% 28% 26% 11% 100%
North 326 353 4% 14% 20% 28% 29% 6% 100%
Rest of South 314 302 4% 15% 19% 26% 30% 6% 100%
Scotland 109 111 8% 13% 47% 25% 6% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 389 381 7% 29% 17% 12% 30% 5% 100%
Labour Party 296 286 1% 4% 27% 53% 14% 2% 100%
Liberal Democrats 104 104 1% 12% 28% 42% 11% 5% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 510 486 5% 22% 16% 20% 29% 8% 100%
Remain 465 451 2% 7% 25% 46% 16% 4% 100%

To what extent, if at all, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Keir Starmer?

Unweighted Weighted Very favourable Somewhat favourable Somewhat unfavourable Very unfavourable Don’t know Prefer not to say Total
Overall
National 1298 1298 4% 23% 21% 24% 21% 7% 100%
Gender
Female 664 659 4% 21% 20% 19% 27% 9% 100%
Male 634 639 4% 25% 21% 29% 15% 5% 100%
Age
18-24 142 137 5% 18% 25% 16% 26% 10% 100%
25-49 581 535 4% 28% 20% 14% 27% 7% 100%
50-64 316 319 4% 19% 18% 31% 19% 8% 100%
65+ 259 307 5% 19% 22% 38% 11% 6% 100%
SEG
AB 301 306 4% 30% 25% 18% 16% 7% 100%
C1 407 402 5% 27% 20% 22% 18% 8% 100%
C2 265 263 3% 11% 23% 35% 22% 6% 100%
DE 325 327 4% 21% 16% 22% 29% 7% 100%
Region
London 147 183 7% 37% 18% 18% 14% 6% 100%
Midlands/Wales 402 349 3% 24% 19% 23% 20% 11% 100%
North 326 353 3% 18% 20% 29% 25% 6% 100%
Rest of South 314 302 3% 21% 24% 24% 22% 5% 100%
Scotland 109 111 8% 18% 23% 21% 24% 7% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 389 381 2% 9% 26% 47% 12% 4% 100%
Labour Party 296 286 11% 51% 14% 6% 14% 4% 100%
Liberal Democrats 104 104 3% 47% 26% 7% 12% 5% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 510 486 3% 12% 19% 43% 15% 7% 100%
Remain 465 451 7% 39% 23% 11% 15% 5% 100%

The government is planning to scrap the current cap on bankers’ bonuses which it argues will help drive economic growth. To what extent, if at all, do you support this policy?

Unweighted Weighted Strongly support Tend to support Neither support nor oppose Tend to oppose Strongly oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1298 1298 5% 7% 13% 14% 38% 6% 17% 100%
Gender
Female 664 659 3% 6% 13% 12% 35% 7% 23% 100%
Male 634 639 6% 8% 13% 15% 42% 4% 12% 100%
Age
18-24 142 137 4% 10% 15% 7% 30% 9% 25% 100%
25-49 581 535 4% 7% 9% 13% 39% 7% 20% 100%
50-64 316 319 6% 6% 15% 13% 40% 4% 16% 100%
65+ 259 307 4% 8% 16% 18% 39% 3% 11% 100%
SEG
AB 301 306 4% 7% 16% 13% 42% 6% 12% 100%
C1 407 402 4% 6% 11% 16% 46% 6% 11% 100%
C2 265 263 4% 10% 12% 12% 33% 5% 23% 100%
DE 325 327 8% 6% 13% 13% 30% 5% 25% 100%
Region
London 147 183 4% 9% 15% 15% 39% 4% 15% 100%
Midlands/Wales 402 349 4% 7% 9% 14% 39% 8% 19% 100%
North 326 353 6% 8% 15% 13% 33% 6% 18% 100%
Rest of South 314 302 4% 9% 13% 15% 39% 5% 15% 100%
Scotland 109 111 6% 1% 12% 9% 51% 3% 19% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 389 381 6% 13% 18% 17% 27% 3% 15% 100%
Labour Party 296 286 3% 5% 10% 12% 53% 5% 13% 100%
Liberal Democrats 104 104 1% 3% 13% 21% 50% 1% 12% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 510 486 6% 11% 15% 17% 30% 5% 17% 100%
Remain 465 451 3% 5% 12% 12% 52% 4% 12% 100%

To what extent, if at all, would you support or oppose Britain reducing the overall level of net migration from its current level of 250,000 a year to have a maximum upper limit of 100,000 a year?

Unweighted Weighted Strongly support Tend to support Neither support nor oppose Tend to oppose Strongly oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1298 1298 26% 14% 14% 10% 11% 7% 19% 100%
Gender
Female 664 659 21% 12% 13% 10% 10% 8% 25% 100%
Male 634 639 31% 15% 14% 11% 13% 5% 11% 100%
Age
18-24 142 137 13% 10% 13% 13% 13% 11% 27% 100%
25-49 581 535 16% 11% 16% 12% 12% 8% 25% 100%
50-64 316 319 31% 17% 13% 9% 9% 6% 15% 100%
65+ 259 307 45% 17% 10% 7% 10% 3% 8% 100%
SEG
AB 301 306 18% 12% 16% 16% 15% 9% 13% 100%
C1 407 402 24% 15% 14% 13% 12% 6% 16% 100%
C2 265 263 32% 16% 13% 6% 8% 6% 20% 100%
DE 325 327 30% 12% 12% 6% 9% 5% 26% 100%
Region
London 147 183 20% 18% 12% 11% 15% 7% 17% 100%
Midlands/Wales 402 349 24% 14% 12% 10% 12% 9% 19% 100%
North 326 353 29% 12% 15% 9% 9% 5% 20% 100%
Rest of South 314 302 30% 14% 14% 10% 9% 7% 16% 100%
Scotland 109 111 22% 9% 15% 14% 16% 3% 21% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 389 381 54% 17% 9% 4% 3% 3% 10% 100%
Labour Party 296 286 5% 11% 17% 18% 26% 5% 19% 100%
Liberal Democrats 104 104 10% 15% 15% 25% 19% 3% 14% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 510 486 52% 15% 8% 3% 3% 6% 12% 100%
Remain 465 451 9% 11% 16% 20% 23% 4% 17% 100%

Details

  • Client: GB News
  • Fieldwork Period: September 21, 2022
  • Sampling Method: Online
  • Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
  • Sample Size: 1,298
  • Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
  • Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
  • Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
  • Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.