GB Voting Intention (Week 9 2023)

In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a 21pt lead to Labour. The full tables are available here.

Selected media coverage

If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Vote share (%)
Latest
Mar 1
Previous
Feb 22
Labour 45 46
Conservative 24 20
Lib Dem 9 7
Green 8 8
Reform UK 7 9
SNP 5 5
Other party 3 4
Plaid Cymru 1 2
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1158 (latest) and 1192 (previous).

Which of the following political parties do you think would be the best at managing Brexit?

Unweighted Weighted Labour Conservative Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru Reform UK Green Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1158 1158 17% 16% 3% 2% 0% 5% 4% 14% 40% 100%
Gender
Female 595 588 16% 11% 2% 1% 0% 3% 3% 16% 48% 100%
Male 563 570 19% 20% 4% 2% 1% 7% 5% 11% 31% 100%
Age
18-24 97 123 20% 4% 3% 2% 5% 8% 16% 41% 100%
25-49 496 477 22% 7% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 14% 45% 100%
50-64 301 284 13% 17% 3% 2% 1% 6% 4% 14% 40% 100%
65+ 264 274 13% 34% 2% 1% 8% 2% 11% 29% 100%
SEG
AB 266 264 21% 15% 5% 2% 0% 4% 5% 9% 40% 100%
C1 369 371 18% 16% 2% 1% 0% 4% 5% 14% 40% 100%
C2 239 236 14% 16% 2% 2% 1% 10% 1% 17% 37% 100%
DE 284 288 16% 16% 2% 3% 1% 4% 3% 14% 42% 100%
Region
London 130 164 24% 17% 5% 1% 6% 4% 14% 29% 100%
Midlands/Wales 356 312 15% 17% 4% 1% 1% 6% 3% 14% 39% 100%
North 290 312 23% 13% 1% 1% 4% 5% 14% 40% 100%
Rest of South 282 270 12% 20% 2% 0% 0% 5% 3% 14% 44% 100%
Scotland 100 100 10% 8% 13% 1% 6% 3% 11% 47% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 341 336 5% 44% 1% 0% 10% 1% 9% 31% 100%
Labour Party 256 256 45% 0% 3% 2% 1% 2% 6% 9% 32% 100%
Liberal Democrats 90 86 21% 6% 17% 1% 3% 10% 42% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 443 442 8% 29% 1% 1% 0% 10% 2% 12% 38% 100%
Remain 417 416 30% 8% 5% 4% 1% 2% 6% 9% 35% 100%

To what extent, if at all, do you support or oppose King Charles meeting with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen?

Unweighted Weighted Strongly support Support Neither support nor oppose Oppose Strongly oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1158 1158 11% 14% 33% 3% 5% 11% 23% 100%
Gender
Female 595 588 8% 12% 28% 3% 4% 13% 33% 100%
Male 563 570 14% 17% 38% 2% 6% 10% 13% 100%
Age
18-24 97 123 3% 10% 27% 3% 7% 18% 33% 100%
25-49 496 477 9% 10% 33% 1% 4% 13% 30% 100%
50-64 301 284 12% 16% 34% 2% 4% 8% 23% 100%
65+ 264 274 16% 23% 34% 6% 5% 8% 7% 100%
SEG
AB 266 264 11% 17% 33% 2% 4% 9% 24% 100%
C1 369 371 10% 16% 34% 2% 4% 12% 23% 100%
C2 239 236 12% 11% 31% 4% 4% 14% 23% 100%
DE 284 288 10% 13% 34% 2% 7% 11% 24% 100%
Region
London 130 164 14% 18% 31% 3% 7% 9% 18% 100%
Midlands/Wales 356 312 10% 13% 34% 2% 4% 12% 25% 100%
North 290 312 9% 14% 33% 2% 7% 12% 22% 100%
Rest of South 282 270 11% 18% 32% 3% 3% 11% 22% 100%
Scotland 100 100 10% 5% 35% 3% 4% 11% 32% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 341 336 12% 20% 37% 4% 6% 7% 13% 100%
Labour Party 256 256 12% 14% 38% 2% 7% 9% 18% 100%
Liberal Democrats 90 86 21% 24% 35% 4% 1% 6% 8% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 443 442 10% 18% 37% 3% 7% 9% 16% 100%
Remain 417 416 17% 15% 37% 3% 4% 7% 17% 100%

Do you think it was the right or wrong decision to have a lockdown for everyone during the Covid pandemic?

Unweighted Weighted Right decision Wrong decision Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1158 1158 60% 15% 10% 15% 100%
Gender
Female 595 588 59% 11% 11% 19% 100%
Male 563 570 62% 19% 9% 10% 100%
Age
18-24 97 123 38% 15% 17% 30% 100%
25-49 496 477 58% 13% 12% 17% 100%
50-64 301 284 63% 18% 8% 11% 100%
65+ 264 274 71% 14% 7% 8% 100%
SEG
AB 266 264 69% 10% 8% 14% 100%
C1 369 371 61% 13% 9% 17% 100%
C2 239 236 54% 21% 14% 11% 100%
DE 284 288 58% 16% 10% 15% 100%
Region
London 130 164 63% 12% 9% 16% 100%
Midlands/Wales 356 312 58% 14% 11% 17% 100%
North 290 312 61% 13% 11% 15% 100%
Rest of South 282 270 62% 18% 10% 11% 100%
Scotland 100 100 60% 19% 8% 13% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 341 336 65% 19% 7% 10% 100%
Labour Party 256 256 69% 10% 7% 14% 100%
Liberal Democrats 90 86 87% 6% 3% 4% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 443 442 59% 21% 9% 11% 100%
Remain 417 416 74% 10% 5% 10% 100%

To what extent, if at all, do you support or oppose an immediate public inquiry into the handling of the Covid pandemic?

Unweighted Weighted Strongly support Support Neither support nor oppose Oppose Strongly oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1158 1158 29% 21% 19% 8% 5% 10% 10% 100%
Gender
Female 595 588 24% 23% 18% 8% 3% 11% 14% 100%
Male 563 570 34% 20% 20% 7% 6% 9% 5% 100%
Age
18-24 97 123 27% 15% 16% 6% 5% 16% 16% 100%
25-49 496 477 30% 22% 15% 8% 2% 11% 12% 100%
50-64 301 284 29% 22% 20% 8% 6% 7% 8% 100%
65+ 264 274 27% 21% 26% 8% 7% 7% 4% 100%
SEG
AB 266 264 29% 30% 15% 6% 4% 7% 10% 100%
C1 369 371 30% 21% 18% 7% 5% 9% 9% 100%
C2 239 236 27% 16% 23% 8% 3% 12% 10% 100%
DE 284 288 28% 18% 19% 9% 6% 10% 10% 100%
Region
London 130 164 37% 26% 14% 4% 3% 8% 9% 100%
Midlands/Wales 356 312 28% 19% 20% 9% 4% 10% 11% 100%
North 290 312 28% 20% 19% 9% 6% 10% 8% 100%
Rest of South 282 270 25% 22% 20% 7% 6% 10% 10% 100%
Scotland 100 100 33% 21% 19% 7% 1% 8% 11% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 341 336 20% 22% 25% 14% 9% 5% 4% 100%
Labour Party 256 256 49% 21% 15% 2% 1% 7% 5% 100%
Liberal Democrats 90 86 37% 31% 16% 6% 2% 3% 4% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 443 442 24% 20% 25% 10% 6% 9% 5% 100%
Remain 417 416 41% 24% 16% 5% 4% 5% 5% 100%

Details

  • Client: GB News
  • Fieldwork Period: March 1, 2023
  • Sampling Method: Online
  • Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
  • Sample Size: 1,158
  • Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
  • Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
  • Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
  • Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.