GB Voting Intention (Week 44 2022)

In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a 26pt lead to Labour. The full tables are available here.

If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Vote share (%)
Latest
Nov 1
Previous
Oct 26
Labour 47 51
Conservative 21 20
Lib Dem 10 9
Green 7 5
SNP 5 5
Reform UK 5 7
Other party 4 3
Plaid Cymru 1 1
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1212 (latest) and 1185 (previous).

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: “The British government has lost control of the country’s borders”

Unweighted Weighted Completely agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1212 1212 33% 25% 11% 7% 7% 8% 9% 100%
Gender
Female 621 617 29% 26% 13% 7% 5% 9% 12% 100%
Male 591 595 37% 25% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 100%
Age
18-24 123 120 14% 18% 12% 17% 10% 17% 13% 100%
25-49 506 506 23% 25% 12% 8% 9% 10% 13% 100%
50-64 312 320 46% 24% 10% 5% 4% 5% 6% 100%
65+ 271 266 44% 31% 10% 4% 3% 3% 3% 100%
SEG
AB 288 269 24% 22% 16% 13% 12% 6% 8% 100%
C1 367 374 27% 28% 12% 7% 9% 8% 8% 100%
C2 262 254 41% 27% 7% 4% 5% 7% 8% 100%
DE 295 316 40% 23% 10% 5% 1% 10% 11% 100%
Region
London 131 171 30% 27% 8% 8% 12% 8% 7% 100%
Midlands/Wales 369 326 31% 26% 14% 7% 5% 8% 10% 100%
North 314 330 35% 23% 11% 8% 7% 8% 8% 100%
Rest of South 300 282 35% 26% 9% 7% 6% 8% 10% 100%
Scotland 98 104 33% 26% 12% 7% 5% 7% 10% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 363 361 42% 33% 9% 4% 3% 4% 5% 100%
Labour Party 275 279 26% 21% 16% 9% 16% 4% 8% 100%
Liberal Democrats 96 93 19% 33% 15% 13% 9% 3% 7% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 460 461 49% 27% 9% 3% 3% 3% 6% 100%
Remain 423 427 23% 27% 14% 11% 13% 5% 8% 100%

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: “European courts and judges in Strasbourg should be able to override decisions about Britain’s borders that are made in Britain”

Unweighted Weighted Completely agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1212 1212 7% 7% 10% 12% 41% 8% 15% 100%
Gender
Female 621 617 6% 8% 9% 13% 34% 9% 22% 100%
Male 591 595 8% 7% 10% 11% 48% 7% 9% 100%
Age
18-24 123 120 11% 12% 14% 8% 15% 17% 23% 100%
25-49 506 506 8% 9% 11% 13% 27% 11% 21% 100%
50-64 312 320 5% 4% 8% 12% 56% 3% 11% 100%
65+ 271 266 6% 5% 7% 12% 62% 3% 6% 100%
SEG
AB 288 269 9% 11% 13% 12% 38% 6% 12% 100%
C1 367 374 7% 10% 8% 13% 36% 7% 18% 100%
C2 262 254 5% 5% 9% 9% 51% 7% 14% 100%
DE 295 316 6% 3% 9% 13% 43% 10% 16% 100%
Region
London 131 171 8% 10% 8% 12% 41% 9% 11% 100%
Midlands/Wales 369 326 6% 7% 11% 17% 38% 8% 13% 100%
North 314 330 7% 8% 9% 9% 41% 8% 18% 100%
Rest of South 300 282 7% 6% 9% 10% 45% 8% 16% 100%
Scotland 98 104 7% 5% 13% 12% 40% 4% 19% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 363 361 3% 3% 3% 8% 71% 4% 9% 100%
Labour Party 275 279 12% 15% 16% 14% 23% 4% 16% 100%
Liberal Democrats 96 93 6% 13% 11% 27% 27% 5% 12% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 460 461 3% 3% 5% 7% 71% 3% 9% 100%
Remain 423 427 12% 14% 14% 18% 22% 5% 15% 100%

Please indicate if you agree or disagree with the following statement: “No one who arrives unlawfully in the UK by a small boat from a safe country, such as France, should be granted a right to settle in the UK”

Unweighted Weighted Completely agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Completely disagree Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1212 1212 35% 14% 9% 11% 14% 7% 9% 100%
Gender
Female 621 617 29% 15% 10% 13% 13% 8% 12% 100%
Male 591 595 41% 13% 9% 9% 16% 6% 6% 100%
Age
18-24 123 120 12% 8% 8% 17% 23% 17% 14% 100%
25-49 506 506 23% 16% 10% 16% 14% 10% 12% 100%
50-64 312 320 49% 12% 11% 7% 11% 4% 6% 100%
65+ 271 266 50% 17% 7% 5% 15% 2% 4% 100%
SEG
AB 288 269 28% 14% 9% 15% 21% 6% 7% 100%
C1 367 374 31% 14% 8% 13% 15% 7% 11% 100%
C2 262 254 42% 15% 10% 6% 13% 7% 8% 100%
DE 295 316 40% 14% 9% 11% 8% 9% 9% 100%
Region
London 131 171 29% 12% 8% 16% 21% 8% 6% 100%
Midlands/Wales 369 326 35% 17% 11% 12% 10% 7% 7% 100%
North 314 330 36% 14% 8% 8% 16% 8% 11% 100%
Rest of South 300 282 37% 13% 7% 10% 14% 8% 11% 100%
Scotland 98 104 36% 13% 13% 16% 12% 4% 6% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 363 361 58% 16% 6% 6% 6% 3% 5% 100%
Labour Party 275 279 16% 14% 12% 19% 28% 3% 8% 100%
Liberal Democrats 96 93 18% 17% 16% 15% 21% 4% 10% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 460 461 59% 15% 6% 4% 7% 3% 5% 100%
Remain 423 427 15% 16% 13% 19% 24% 5% 9% 100%

This week it was revealed that the largest group of foreign nationals who are arriving unlawfully to the UK in small boats are Albanians. There is currently no war or persecution in Albania. What do you think should be done?

Unweighted Weighted They should be allowed to stay in the country and apply for British citizenship They should be allowed to stay in the country but not become British citizens They should be required to leave the country and return to Albania Don’t know Prefer not to say Total
Overall
National 1212 1212 9% 4% 61% 18% 8% 100%
Gender
Female 621 617 8% 4% 54% 24% 10% 100%
Male 591 595 10% 4% 68% 12% 6% 100%
Age
18-24 123 120 21% 5% 28% 30% 16% 100%
25-49 506 506 11% 5% 48% 25% 11% 100%
50-64 312 320 5% 2% 78% 11% 4% 100%
65+ 271 266 4% 2% 81% 8% 5% 100%
SEG
AB 288 269 16% 5% 53% 20% 7% 100%
C1 367 374 8% 4% 60% 19% 10% 100%
C2 262 254 5% 4% 68% 17% 6% 100%
DE 295 316 6% 3% 65% 18% 9% 100%
Region
London 131 171 13% 4% 59% 14% 9% 100%
Midlands/Wales 369 326 6% 4% 61% 20% 8% 100%
North 314 330 10% 2% 63% 18% 8% 100%
Rest of South 300 282 7% 3% 61% 20% 9% 100%
Scotland 98 104 10% 8% 59% 15% 7% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 363 361 2% 1% 84% 8% 4% 100%
Labour Party 275 279 18% 5% 45% 26% 6% 100%
Liberal Democrats 96 93 11% 10% 53% 18% 8% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 460 461 3% 1% 85% 9% 3% 100%
Remain 423 427 17% 6% 46% 25% 6% 100%

Which politician do you think would best manage the issue of the small boats crossing the Channel?

Unweighted Weighted Nigel Farage Keir Starmer Rishi Sunak Boris Johnson Nicola Sturgeon Caroline Lucas Ed Davey None of the above Don’t know Prefer not to say Total
Overall
National 1212 1212 13% 9% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 20% 37% 8% 100%
Gender
Female 621 617 7% 6% 3% 3% 5% 2% 1% 17% 46% 10% 100%
Male 591 595 20% 12% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2% 23% 28% 6% 100%
Age
18-24 123 120 6% 14% 3% 4% 3% 3% 22% 28% 17% 100%
25-49 506 506 9% 11% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 16% 40% 10% 100%
50-64 312 320 17% 6% 5% 4% 3% 1% 0% 23% 36% 6% 100%
65+ 271 266 20% 7% 3% 5% 1% 2% 2% 21% 35% 4% 100%
SEG
AB 288 269 13% 11% 5% 1% 3% 4% 2% 21% 33% 6% 100%
C1 367 374 13% 11% 3% 4% 3% 2% 1% 15% 40% 8% 100%
C2 262 254 18% 9% 4% 3% 3% 1% 0% 21% 33% 6% 100%
DE 295 316 9% 6% 2% 5% 4% 0% 1% 22% 39% 11% 100%
Region
London 131 171 14% 11% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 19% 35% 10% 100%
Midlands/Wales 369 326 14% 10% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2% 18% 36% 9% 100%
North 314 330 12% 10% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 23% 36% 7% 100%
Rest of South 300 282 15% 6% 5% 3% 3% 1% 1% 18% 40% 8% 100%
Scotland 98 104 8% 5% 1% 6% 11% 1% 3% 22% 37% 5% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 363 361 28% 1% 6% 8% 2% 1% 1% 14% 35% 5% 100%
Labour Party 275 279 3% 26% 1% 2% 4% 5% 2% 22% 32% 3% 100%
Liberal Democrats 96 93 1% 8% 7% 5% 2% 3% 23% 43% 8% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 460 461 26% 4% 4% 5% 2% 1% 0% 18% 36% 4% 100%
Remain 423 427 4% 17% 3% 2% 7% 4% 2% 21% 37% 4% 100%

Details

  • Client: GB News
  • Fieldwork Period: November 1, 2022
  • Sampling Method: Online
  • Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
  • Sample Size: 1,212
  • Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
  • Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
  • Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
  • Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.