GB Voting Intention (Week 36 2022)

In a new poll commissioned by GB News, we find a comfortable lead for Labour. The full tables are available here.

If there were to be a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Vote share (%)
Latest
Sep 7
Previous
Aug 30
Labour 40 42
Conservative 28 25
Lib Dem 9 10
Green 7 7
SNP 5 5
Other party 5 6
Reform UK 4 4
Plaid Cymru 1 2
Population sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain.
Sample sizes: 1162 (latest) and 1203 (previous).




What word or phrase first comes to mind when you think about the Conservative Party?


To what extent, if at all, do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of Liz Truss?

Unweighted Weighted Very favourable Somewhat favourable Somewhat unfavourable Very unfavourable Don’t know Prefer not to say Total
Overall
National 1162 1162 3% 12% 20% 31% 29% 5% 100%
Gender
Female 600 600 1% 10% 20% 31% 32% 6% 100%
Male 562 562 5% 15% 20% 30% 26% 4% 100%
Age
18-24 127 123 2% 5% 23% 33% 30% 6% 100%
25-49 492 479 1% 7% 19% 37% 29% 7% 100%
50-64 298 285 3% 17% 18% 30% 27% 5% 100%
65+ 245 275 8% 20% 22% 18% 30% 2% 100%
SEG
AB 286 277 2% 14% 23% 36% 23% 2% 100%
C1 349 352 2% 13% 20% 31% 29% 5% 100%
C2 240 236 8% 11% 17% 28% 31% 5% 100%
DE 287 296 2% 10% 20% 27% 34% 7% 100%
Region
London 135 164 3% 21% 21% 27% 24% 4% 100%
Midlands/Wales 355 312 3% 12% 18% 33% 28% 6% 100%
North 285 316 3% 10% 19% 28% 33% 7% 100%
Rest of South 287 270 4% 11% 23% 24% 33% 4% 100%
Scotland 100 99 8% 21% 53% 18% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 348 349 8% 27% 23% 8% 31% 1% 100%
Labour Party 267 254 0% 4% 19% 57% 16% 4% 100%
Liberal Democrats 90 88 2% 8% 29% 44% 13% 4% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 453 435 5% 21% 21% 18% 31% 4% 100%
Remain 420 403 1% 8% 21% 48% 18% 3% 100%

Energy bills for a typical household are forecast to rise considerably over the next few months to more than £3,500. It has been suggested that the government cap the typical energy bill at around £2,500 at an overall cost of £150 billion to taxpayers. To what extent, if at all, would you support or oppose this plan?

Unweighted Weighted Completely support Somewhat support Neither support nor oppose Somewhat oppose Completely oppose Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1162 1162 21% 30% 13% 6% 8% 4% 17% 100%
Gender
Female 600 600 16% 28% 12% 7% 8% 6% 24% 100%
Male 562 562 25% 33% 14% 6% 9% 3% 10% 100%
Age
18-24 127 123 9% 30% 4% 5% 10% 8% 33% 100%
25-49 492 479 18% 28% 14% 7% 9% 4% 19% 100%
50-64 298 285 21% 33% 13% 7% 7% 4% 15% 100%
65+ 245 275 31% 31% 17% 5% 6% 2% 9% 100%
SEG
AB 286 277 19% 35% 13% 6% 10% 4% 14% 100%
C1 349 352 20% 30% 14% 8% 8% 2% 17% 100%
C2 240 236 25% 29% 17% 4% 6% 4% 16% 100%
DE 287 296 19% 28% 10% 7% 9% 7% 21% 100%
Region
London 135 164 17% 43% 9% 11% 5% 5% 10% 100%
Midlands/Wales 355 312 19% 29% 14% 8% 10% 3% 18% 100%
North 285 316 22% 22% 15% 4% 9% 5% 24% 100%
Rest of South 287 270 23% 33% 13% 4% 6% 4% 16% 100%
Scotland 100 99 20% 33% 14% 7% 12% 4% 10% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 348 349 29% 34% 15% 4% 5% 1% 11% 100%
Labour Party 267 254 21% 32% 11% 8% 12% 3% 13% 100%
Liberal Democrats 90 88 12% 46% 13% 6% 8% 1% 14% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 453 435 28% 31% 16% 4% 7% 3% 11% 100%
Remain 420 403 18% 34% 13% 7% 10% 2% 15% 100%

The total number of illegal migrants who have crossed the English Channel in small boats this year has reached 22,560, compared to 12,500 at the same point last year, and 299 in 2018. What is your opinion of the government’s current approach to managing this issue?

Unweighted Weighted The current approach is too harsh The current approach is about right The current approach is too soft Prefer not to say Don’t know Total
Overall
National 1162 1162 16% 3% 57% 5% 20% 100%
Gender
Female 600 600 16% 4% 48% 6% 25% 100%
Male 562 562 16% 2% 65% 3% 14% 100%
Age
18-24 127 123 24% 6% 24% 7% 40% 100%
25-49 492 479 21% 2% 47% 7% 23% 100%
50-64 298 285 14% 4% 66% 2% 14% 100%
65+ 245 275 6% 3% 79% 2% 10% 100%
SEG
AB 286 277 26% 4% 43% 5% 22% 100%
C1 349 352 15% 2% 57% 5% 21% 100%
C2 240 236 13% 3% 66% 4% 14% 100%
DE 287 296 10% 3% 61% 6% 20% 100%
Region
London 135 164 21% 3% 53% 5% 18% 100%
Midlands/Wales 355 312 15% 2% 61% 5% 18% 100%
North 285 316 16% 3% 57% 5% 19% 100%
Rest of South 287 270 14% 4% 54% 4% 24% 100%
Scotland 100 99 21% 3% 54% 5% 17% 100%
2019 General Election
Conservative Party 348 349 3% 4% 80% 2% 10% 100%
Labour Party 267 254 39% 3% 30% 3% 26% 100%
Liberal Democrats 90 88 28% 5% 41% 6% 20% 100%
2016 Brexit referendum
Leave 453 435 4% 2% 83% 2% 9% 100%
Remain 420 403 33% 4% 34% 5% 24% 100%

Details

  • Client: GB News
  • Fieldwork Period: September 7, 2022
  • Sampling Method: Online
  • Population Sampled: All adults (18+) in Great Britain
  • Sample Size: 1,162
  • Data Collection: The data is acquired from a panel provider offering participants the chance to win money. The sampling relies on an online quota approach. Specifically, participants are sampled to meet Office of National Statistics quotas for gender, age, region, socio-economic group, vote in the 2019 general election, and vote in the 2016 Brexit referendum. No criteria are used to over- or undersample respondents. To ensure the polling is representative of the target population, we use official and reliable data sources to match the sample to demographic population targets.
  • Weighting: The sample has been weighted to be representative of the population on the following variables: gender, age, socio-economic group, region, vote in the 2019 General Elections and 2016 Brexit referendum vote.
  • Turnout Weighting for Voting Intention: To gauge the likelihood of a respondent voting in the General Elections, the poll used an 11-point scale to measure the certainty that the respondent would vote if there was an election tomorrow. The voting intention answers are then weighted by the likelihood to vote (by the numerical answer to the question divided by 10, e.g., a respondent providing a likelihood to vote of 8 out of 10 will have a weight of 0.8).
  • Margin of Error: All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.